Independent. Built from Canal & River Trust's own published notices, with no affiliation to or endorsement by the Trust.
The archive / Trends
Is it getting worse?
New unplanned failures across the network, June 2026 to August 2026 against the same months a year earlier
Across the network, new failures are up by more than chance would produce; the result holds across all 41 tests. 14 canals can each be tested on its own so far; at current rates the next becomes testable in October 2026.
Read with care. This rests on 3 matched months. The earlier months fall in CRT's first year live, when notices may have been under-recorded, which would make a rise look larger than it is. These are notices grouped into episodes, not counts of distinct locks or bridges.
Days shut by failures in the same months: 3,081 against 2,567. The two can move in opposite directions, fewer failures that each last longer, so both are shown. Days are not tested for luck: a day count depends on how long each closure lasted, and the test is built for counts of separate events.
A whole cruising season against the one before becomes possible after 31 October 2027.
Every heading below carries the strength of its evidence. A comparison uses only months CRT's system fully covers, matched with the same months a year earlier, and counts failures as episodes so a re-issued notice is not counted twice. A documented list is dated, linked notices and needs no comparison.
What movedCompared with a year earlier (3 matched months)
New unplanned failures, counted in episodes, in the matched months against the same months a year earlier. With no real change, each episode is as likely to fall in either period. A difference counts as a change only when chance would produce one that large less than one time in 20. Failures cluster in bad weather, which makes the test somewhat generous. This page makes 41 such tests, so even with no real change anywhere about 2 would still pass by chance. A result that holds across all 41 tests would pass even allowing for that; one that passes only on its own could be one of them.
Hollow dot: June 2025 to August 2025. Solid dot: June 2026 to August 2026. Faded rows are within what chance produces. Open a row for its months.
Asset
Lock58 to 111up by more than chance would produce; holds across all 41 tests
JunJulAugCanal or river94 to 139up by more than chance would produce; passes on its own, not across all 41 tests
JunJulAugLift bridge0 to 6up by more than chance would produce; passes on its own, not across all 41 tests
JunJulAugSwing bridge13 to 4down by more than chance would produce; passes on its own, not across all 41 tests
JunJulAugSluice2 to 0within what chance produces
JunJulAugBridge10 to 8within what chance produces
JunJulAugCulvert2 to 1within what chance produces
JunJulAugAqueduct0 to 1within what chance produces
JunJulAugEmbankment0 to 1within what chance produces
JunJulAugOther0 to 1within what chance produces
JunJulAug
Lock parts
Paddle16 to 29within what chance produces
JunJulAugCill2 to 8within what chance produces
JunJulAugGate23 to 32within what chance produces
JunJulAugPaddle gear3 to 7within what chance produces
JunJulAugBalance beam6 to 9within what chance produces
JunJulAugLock wall2 to 1within what chance produces
JunJulAugChamber0 to 1within what chance produces
JunJulAugHydraulics0 to 1within what chance produces
JunJulAugLeak0 to 1within what chance produces
JunJulAugQuoin1 to 0within what chance produces
JunJulAug
Channel
Low water54 to 77within what chance produces
JunJulAugHigh water0 to 4within what chance produces
JunJulAugObstructions38 to 52within what chance produces
JunJulAug
Why the water was low
Dry weather19 to 31within what chance produces
JunJulAugNot stated30 to 41within what chance produces
JunJulAugWater lost or not supplied6 to 7within what chance produces
JunJulAug
Each canalCompared with a year earlier (3 matched months)
A canal is tested once its matched months and the same months a year earlier hold 10 or more failure episodes between them; below that its figure is mostly luck. The comparison is at most 12 months against the 12 before, so a canal that fails rarely may never reach the line at its current rate.
Calder & Hebble Navigation1 to 13up by more than chance would produce; passes on its own, not across all 41 tests
JunJulAugHuddersfield Narrow Canal1 to 11up by more than chance would produce; passes on its own, not across all 41 tests
JunJulAugRochdale Canal8 to 18within what chance produces
JunJulAugLlangollen Canal3 to 7within what chance produces
JunJulAugLee Navigation6 to 10within what chance produces
JunJulAugLeicester Line (Grand Union Canal)6 to 10within what chance produces
JunJulAugErewash Canal4 to 7within what chance produces
JunJulAugOxford Canal9 to 12within what chance produces
JunJulAugKennet & Avon Canal5 to 7within what chance produces
JunJulAugNorth Stratford Canal5 to 7within what chance produces
JunJulAugTrent & Mersey Canal14 to 16within what chance produces
JunJulAugGrand Union Canal23 to 22within what chance produces
JunJulAugLeeds & Liverpool Canal12 to 11within what chance produces
JunJulAugStaffordshire & Worcestershire Cnl5 to 6within what chance produces
JunJulAug
Not testable yet
Episodes in the matched months are in brackets. Dates are projections at each canal's rate of failures since CRT's system went live, not promises.
- October 2026
- River Stort (9)
- November 2026
- Birmingham & Fazeley Canal (8), Lancaster Canal (5), River Soar (7), Shropshire Union Canal (6)
- December 2026
- Aire & Calder Navigation Main Line (7), Ashton Canal (5), Macclesfield Canal (3), Old Main Line (7), Peak Forest Canal (4), Regent's Canal (6), River Severn Navigation (3)
- January 2027
- Caldon Canal (5), Chesterfield Canal (5), Coventry Canal (6), Northampton Arm (GU Canal) (7), Sheffield & South Yorkshire Nav (4), South Stratford Canal (5)
- February 2027
- Monmouthshire & Brecon Canal (6), River Trent (2), Rushall Canal (6)
- March 2027
- Droitwich Barge Canal (3), Droitwich Junction Canal (3), Huddersfield Broad Canal (3), New Junction Canal (3), Worcester & Birmingham Canal (3)
- April 2027
- Leigh Branch (L&L Canal) (5)
- May 2027
- Stainforth & Keadby Canal (1), Wakefield Branch (Aire & Calder) (5), Walsall Canal (3)
- June 2027
- Ashby Canal (2), Weaver Navigation (2)
- July 2027
- Stourbridge Canal (2)
- At the current rate a year holds too few failures to test
42 canals
Aylesbury Arm (Grand Union Canal) (3), Birmingham & Warwick Junction Cnl (1), Bradley Arm (Old Main Line) (0), Bridgwater & Taunton Canal (2), Bugsworth Arm (Peak Forest Canal) (1), Daw End Canal (1), Digbeth Branch (Birm'm & Fazeley) (0), Dudley No 1 Canal (2), Dukes Cut (Oxford Canal) (0), Fossdyke Canal (0), Glasson Branch (Lancaster Canal) (2), Gloucester & Sharpness Canal (3), Gower Branch (New Main Line) (2), Hertford Union Canal (2), Leek Branch (Caldon Canal) (0), Limehouse Basin (3), Limehouse Cut (1), Liverpool Link (0), Market Harborough Arm (GU Cnl) (1), Middlewich Branch (Shrop Union) (1), Montgomery Canal (1), New Mainline (0), Nottingham & Beeston Canal (0), Old River Lea (0), Paddington Arm (Grand Union Canal) (1), Pocklington Canal (2), Ribble Link (1), Ripon Canal (2), River Ouse (3), River Witham (0), Rufford Branch (L&L Canal) (2), Selby Canal (3), Sheffield & Tinsley Canal (1), Spon Lane Locks (2), Springs Branch (L&L Canal) (0), Tame Valley Canal (3), Titford Canal (0), Upper Trent (0), Ure Navigation (1), Welford Arm (Leicester Line) (1), Wendover Arm (Grand Union Canal) (1), Wyrley & Essington Canal (0)
Structures that keep failingDocumented
How a structure is counted
A structure is one named lock, bridge, sluice or similar on one waterway, taken from notices that start and end at the same place. Two with the same name more than 500m apart are different structures. Notices that overlap, or where one starts the day after another ends, are one episode: a re-issued notice is not a new failure. A structure is listed once 2 or more of its episodes were the asset itself failing.
Each episode is counted by why it happened: the asset itself (wear and tear, ground moved, cause not stated, other cause); someone else (pollution, struck by boat or vehicle, someone else's works, vandalism); weather.
| Structure | The asset itself | Someone else | Weather | Since May 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bridge 83, Keadby Rail Drawbridge, Stainforth & Keadby Canal
| 7 | 0 | 1 | |
Lock 5, Woodlesford Lock, Aire & Calder Navigation Main Line
| 4 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 7, Lemonroyd Lock, Aire & Calder Navigation Main Line
| 4 | 0 | 0 | |
Bridge 147, W'Well Swingbridge, Grand Union Canal
| 4 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 19, Old Ford Lock, Eastern Side, Lee Navigation
| 4 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 25, Broad Cut Top, Calder & Hebble Navigation
| 3 | 0 | 0 | |
Bridge 187, Warehouse Swing Bridge, Leeds & Liverpool Canal
| 3 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 1a, Carpenter's Road Lock, Old River Lea
| 3 | 0 | 0 |
The other 35 structures
| Structure | The asset itself | Someone else | Weather | Since May 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lock 13, Newark Town Lock, River Trent
| 3 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 6, Woodnook Lock, Wakefield Branch (Aire & Calder)
| 3 | 0 | 0 | |
Bridge 8, Shirley Drawbridge, North Stratford Canal
| 2 | 7 | 0 | |
Bridge 4, Foxton Swingbridge, Market Harborough Arm (GU Cnl)
| 2 | 1 | 0 | |
Bridge 221, Aubreys Lift Bridge, Oxford Canal
| 2 | 1 | 0 | |
Upper Lode Lock, River Severn Navigation
| 2 | 0 | 1 | |
Lock 23, Figure Of Three Top, Calder & Hebble Navigation
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 3, Salterhebble Bottom, Calder & Hebble Navigation
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 60 - Trent Lock, Erewash Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | ||
Lock 22, Fenny Stratford Lock, Grand Union Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 23, Stoke Hammond Lock, Grand Union Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Bridge 17, Quay Street Loco Liftbridge, Huddersfield Broad Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 11 West, Huddersfield Narrow Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 17, Tottenham Lock, Eastern Side, Lee Navigation
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 8, Aqueduct Lock, Lee Navigation
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 1, Limehouse Ship Lock, Limehouse Basin
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Don Aqueduct, New Junction Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Sykehouse Lock, New Junction Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 32, Nell Bridge Lock, Oxford Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 43, Kidlington Green Lock, Oxford Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Bridge 1, Stanley Lift Bridge, Peak Forest Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 5, City Road Lock, Regent's Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 3, Oxclose Lock, Ripon Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 12, Hazelford Lock, River Trent
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 19, Rochdale Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 20, Rochdale Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 23, Rochdale Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Selby Swingbridge 1, Selby Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Autherley Junction Stop Lock, Shropshire Union Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 40, Wilmcote Top Lock, South Stratford Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Bottom Barge Lock, Staffordshire & Worcestershire Cnl
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 43, Red Bull Lock, Trent & Mersey Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Lock 5, Swarkestone Lock, Trent & Mersey Canal
| 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Marsh Lock, Weaver Navigation
| 2 | 0 | 0 |
Set aside from this list: 127 failure notices named a stretch rather than one structure, 5 named no single place, and 0 carried a name shared by structures in different places with no location to tell them apart. All of them still count in the comparisons above.
Places that keep closingDocumented
How a place is counted
A place is a waterway plus the two named ends of the closed stretch, in either order, or a single named point. Different stretches that overlap count as different places, so each count is a floor: a place has had at least this many episodes. A place is listed from 2 episodes. The three kinds are listed apart and never ranked against each other.
High water
Where the notice says the channel flooded. A river closed in flood is working as designed; this list is where the weather shows. 50 failure notices in all; 23 named no single place.
5 places that keep closing
| Place | Episodes | Latest |
|---|---|---|
Lock 11, Wychnor Lock to Lock 12, Alrewas Lock, Trent & Mersey Canal
| at least 6 | February 2026 |
Lock 2 Gloucester Lock to Lock 6 Diglis (Large), River Severn Navigation
| at least 4 | March 2026 |
Lock 2 Gloucester Lock to Lock 9 Lincomb Lock, River Severn Navigation
| at least 4 | March 2026 |
Lock 2 Gloucester Lock to Upper Lode Lock, River Severn Navigation
| at least 3 | March 2026 |
Church Cut Bridge to Red Lion Visitor Moorings, Weaver Navigation
| at least 3 | December 2025 |
Low water
Where the channel was drained or leaking, or CRT gave low water levels as the reason. 201 failure notices in all; 6 named no single place.
Why the water was low, read from CRT's own words in each notice: dry weather: 61; water lost or not supplied: 16; not stated: 124. A notice that does not say is counted as not stated, never guessed.
124 notices not stating a reason were only ever read after CRT could have rewritten them. CRT rewrites a notice when the stretch reopens, and the reason can go with it; the archive keeps the text it first saw.
27 places that keep closing
| Place | Episodes | Latest |
|---|---|---|
Lock 42 - North Lock to Lock 43 - Limekiln Lock, River Soar
| at least 5 | July 2026 |
Lock 65 - Stanton to Lock 66 - Hallam Fields Lock, Erewash Canal
| at least 3 | June 2026 |
Lock No.1 to Lock No.6, Glasson Branch (Lancaster Canal)
| at least 3 | May 2026 |
Lock 26, Slat Mill Lock to Lock 27, Little Bourton, Oxford Canal
| at least 3 | July 2025 |
Lock 14, Brick Lock to Lock 15, Lower Lock, River Stort
| at least 3 | July 2026 |
Lock 1, Top Lock Rushall to Lock 9, Rushall, Rushall Canal
| at least 3 | July 2026 |
Lock 26, Aston Lock, Trent & Mersey Canal
| at least 3 | July 2025 |
Lock 1 to Lock 18, Ashton Canal
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Froghall Basin Lock to Lock 10 Hazelhurst Top Lock, Caldon Canal
| at least 2 | August 2026 |
Lock 61 - Long Eaton to Lock 62 - Dockholme Lock, Erewash Canal
| at least 2 | September 2026 |
Lock 62 - Dockholme Lock to Lock 63 - Sandiacre Lock, Erewash Canal
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 1 Brades Double to Lock 3, Brades Locks, Gower Branch, Gower Branch (New Main Line)
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 1, Camp Hill Top Lock (Lock 52) to Lock 51, Knowle Top Lock, Grand Union Canal
| at least 2 | August 2026 |
Lock 23, Stoke Hammond Lock to Lock 26, Three Locks top, Grand Union Canal
| at least 2 | September 2026 |
Lock 1, Top Lock to Lock 3, Bottom Lock, Hertford Union Canal
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 54, Cadley Lock to Lock 60, Crofton Lock, Kennet & Avon Canal
| at least 2 | June 2026 |
Lock 17, Tottenham Lock, Western Side, Lee Navigation
| at least 2 | July 2025 |
Lock 32 - Ervins Lock to Lock 33 - Bush Lock, Leicester Line (Grand Union Canal)
| at least 2 | June 2026 |
Lock 39 - Aylestone Mill Lock to Lock 40 - St Mary's Mill Lock, Leicester Line (Grand Union Canal)
| at least 2 | April 2026 |
Lock 1, Hurleston Locks to Lock 4, Hurleston Locks, Llangollen Canal
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 1 to Lock 17, Northampton Arm (GU Canal)
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 1, Smethwick to Lock 3, Smethwick, Old Main Line
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 21, Wolverhampton to Wolverhampton Top Lock, Old Main Line
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 17, Claydon Top Lock to Lock 33, Aynho Weir Lock, Oxford Canal
| at least 2 | August 2026 |
Lock 1, Spon Lane Top Lock to Lock 3, Spon Lane Bottom Lock, Spon Lane Locks
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 41, Plants Lock - Off Side to Lock 71, Trent & Mersey Canal
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Lock 41, Plants Lock - Towpath Side to Lock 71, Trent & Mersey Canal
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
Obstructions
Where something blocked the channel: a fallen tree, debris, a sunken boat. 287 failure notices in all; 0 named no single place.
10 places that keep closing
| Place | Episodes | Latest |
|---|---|---|
Bridge 111, Globe Inn to Lock 27, Leighton Lock, Grand Union Canal
| at least 2 | June 2026 |
Shrewley Tunnel, Grand Union Canal
| at least 2 | March 2026 |
Bridge 26, Salwick Bridge to Bridge 27, Six Mile Bridge, Lancaster Canal
| at least 2 | February 2026 |
Bridge 93, Carr Lane Bridge to Bridge 94, Ashton Lane Bridge, Lancaster Canal
| at least 2 | June 2026 |
Chirk Tunnel, Llangollen Canal
| at least 2 | January 2026 |
Bridge 26A Clarence Mill Footbridge, Macclesfield Canal
| at least 2 | December 2025 |
Bridge 163, Marsh Bridge, Oxford Canal
| at least 2 | August 2025 |
Bridge 239A, Frenchay Bridge to Bridge 240, Aristotle Bridge, Oxford Canal
| at least 2 | September 2025 |
Bridge 13B, School Brow Footbridge to Bridge 14, Hole House Fold Br, Peak Forest Canal
| at least 2 | December 2025 |
Lock 28, Lowsonford, South Stratford Canal
| at least 2 | July 2026 |
29 other channel failures fit none of the three kinds and are left out rather than forced into one.